11 Sept · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇺🇦Kyrylo Riazanovskyi
ELO 1419
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1451
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (212)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.