11 Sept · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1517
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bilobrov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1523
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Kovshun covers set handicap as underdog 62% (116)
Fair odds · Bilobrov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.