11 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1620
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Hrekh
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1534
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
🌟Hrekh stays under total as favourite 63% (198)
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H32-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-23)