11 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1523
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1525
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.