11 Sept · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1507
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Maliuk
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1503
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H26-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.