11 Sept · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1507
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Maliuk
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1400
FormWLWWW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H29-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-20)