11 Sept · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1567
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mrykh
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1524
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Nitchenko stays under total as underdog 66% (68)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)