11 Sept · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1483
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Slozka
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1575
FormLLWWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shchegelskyi
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)