11 Sept · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1489
FormLLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ziakun
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1400
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
🌟Ziakun rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (45)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H44-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-22)