11 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1489
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ziakun
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1488
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Ziakun rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (45)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H34-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.