11 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FH
🇺🇦Filip Husek
ELO 1451
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Husek
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1443
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Husek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Husek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.