11 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1587
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pohorilyi
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1512
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
🌟Simchuk stays under total as underdog 67% (39)
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H22-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-15)