11 Sept · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1587
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pohorilyi
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1517
FormLLWWW
57%
43%
🌟Honcharenko covers set handicap as underdog 62% (135)
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H32-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-13)