11 Sept · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1483
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krokhmal
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1534
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shchegelskyi🌟Krokhmal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (150)
Fair odds · Krokhmal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)