11 Sept · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1759
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zeniuk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bondarchuk
ELO 1705
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)