11 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1491
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Snizek
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1443
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Puk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (71)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)