11 Sept · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1575
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Slozka
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1534
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 66% (160)
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H28-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.