12 Sept · 07:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1505
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Slozka
MS
🇺🇦Mykola Slozka
ELO 1611
FormWWWWW
39%
61%
🌟Palii stays under total as underdog 63% (35)
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)