12 Sept · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1506
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jirousek
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1447
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Jirousek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (64)
Fair odds · Jirousek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H15-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-13)