12 Sept · 09:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1526
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kovshun
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1533
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kovshun
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.