12 Sept · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1595
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Savoliuk
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1561
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
🌟Riadynskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (47)
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H24-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.