12 Sept · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1374
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ponomarenko
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1284
FormWLLLW
60%
40%
🌟Ponomarenko stays under total as favourite 63% (70)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+90
H2H23-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-22)