12 Sept · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolos
ELO 1418
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kolos
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1331
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kolos
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H8-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)