12 Sept · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2003
FormWWWWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Ponomarenko
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1615
FormLWWLL
84%
16%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~67 pts
3-0
44%
3-1
26%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+388
H2H57-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+388)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-1)