12 Sept · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1563
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zhyrnov
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1613
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Mrykh covers set handicap as underdog 62% (72)
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)