12 Sept · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Palii
ELO 1505
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gil
TG
🇺🇦Taras Gil
ELO 1590
FormWLWWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Palii🌟Gil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (55)
Fair odds · Gil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)