12 Sept · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZK
🇺🇦Zdenek Kuksa
ELO 1591
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1615
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kuksa🌟Kuksa covers set handicap as underdog 68% (68)
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.