12 Sept · 06:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1421
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Torhachov
IT
🇺🇦Ihor Torhachov
ELO 1424
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Torhachov🌟Fastov goes over total as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Torhachov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 32% · 3.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H9-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.