12 Sept · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇺🇦Mykhailo Mykhailenko
ELO 1191
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kuzko
SK
🇺🇦Stanislav Kuzko
ELO 1192
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kuzko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.