12 Sept · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1374
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Ponomarenko
SK
🇺🇦Stanislav Kuzko
ELO 1192
FormLWWLL
68%
32%
🌟Ponomarenko stays under total as favourite 63% (70)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+182
H2H23-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-1)