12 Sept · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1460
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lazebnyi
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebnyi
ELO 1535
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Lazebnyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)