13 Sept · 19:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1585
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pisa
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1596
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vyskocil🌟Pisa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (120)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.