13 Sept · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1571
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Osadchyi
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1497
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)