13 Sept · 06:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇺🇦Vitalii Boyko
ELO 1400
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Boyko
OM
🇺🇦Oleksii Mitla
ELO 1376
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mitla
Fair odds · Boyko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H20-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.