13 Sept · 09:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shkurupii
ELO 1460
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Hohenko
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hohenko
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
39%
61%
⚡ Cover lean · Hohenko🌟Shkurupii stays under total as underdog 64% (80)
Fair odds · Hohenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~70 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)