13 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Vitalii Boyko
ELO 1400
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kalenyk
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kalenyk
ELO 1447
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Kalenyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (185)
Fair odds · Kalenyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)