13 Sept · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇺🇦Josef Chalupa
ELO 1646
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chalupa
LS
🇺🇦Lukas Svoboda
ELO 1548
FormWLWWL
60%
40%
🌟Svoboda covers set handicap as underdog 67% (49)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)