13 Sept · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1456
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shypilov
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1403
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Vlasenko covers set handicap as underdog 68% (259)
Fair odds · Shypilov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H46-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)