13 Sept · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1364
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1433
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)