13 Sept · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hohenko
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Zhurba
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhurba
ELO 1727
FormLLWWL
33%
67%
🌟Hohenko goes over total as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Zhurba
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~70 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)