13 Sept · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shkurupii
ELO 1460
FormLLLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Zhurba
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhurba
ELO 1727
FormLLWWL
24%
76%
⚡ Cover lean · Zhurba🌟Shkurupii stays under total as underdog 64% (80)
Fair odds · Zhurba
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~69 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+267
H2H131-64
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+267)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (131-64)