13 Sept · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hohenko
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hohenko
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1548
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Hohenko stays under total as favourite 62% (37)
Fair odds · Hohenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.