13 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1313
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sydorchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1333
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Chyzh rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (42)
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.