13 Sept · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇺🇦Vitalii Boyko
ELO 1400
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Napirko
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1487
FormWWLWL
41%
59%
🌟Boyko stays under total as underdog 62% (64)
Fair odds · Napirko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H62-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-37)