13 Sept · 10:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1571
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Osadchyi
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H40-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-24)