13 Sept · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1538
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Martyniuk
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1497
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H13-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.