14 Sept · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1489
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prylepa
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1479
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H62-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.