14 Sept · 12:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Treschetka
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Oliynyk stays under total as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 21% · 4.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H2-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)