14 Sept · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1489
FormLLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1542
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H27-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)