14 Sept · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1486
FormWLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skhabitskiy
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1486
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H47-108
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.